{"id":1200,"date":"2026-10-29T13:12:41","date_gmt":"2026-10-29T12:12:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hadamard.com\/c\/?p=1200"},"modified":"2026-10-29T13:12:41","modified_gmt":"2026-10-29T12:12:41","slug":"bip-361-explained-quantum-bitcoin-freeze","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hadamard.com\/c\/bip-361-explained-quantum-bitcoin-freeze\/","title":{"rendered":"BIP-361 Explained: Bitcoin&#8217;s Plan to Sunset Quantum-Vulnerable Coins"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>BIP-361 is a draft Bitcoin Improvement Proposal that would retire Bitcoin&#8217;s quantum-vulnerable signatures in two stages. First it would block new sends to vulnerable address types about three years after activation. Then, about five years after activation, a flag day would sunset legacy signatures. It is not active and has no activation date. It would only affect your coins if the Bitcoin network adopted it through a consensus change.<\/p>\n<p>This guide covers what the draft says, how it relates to BIP-360 (P2MR), why coins in early P2PK outputs, Satoshi&#8217;s included, are a special case, and what holders can sensibly do today. One caveat first: the draft is still being revised, so details may differ from the version you read.<\/p>\n<h2>BIP-361 explained: what the draft proposes and why now<\/h2>\n<p>BIP-361 is titled &#8220;Post Quantum Migration and Legacy Signature Sunset.&#8221; Jameson Lopp and five co-authors wrote it, and it was submitted to the bitcoin\/bips repository as <a href=\"https:\/\/github.com\/bitcoin\/bips\/pull\/1895\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">pull request #1895, merged on April 14, 2026<\/a>. Merging into the BIPs repository gives a proposal a number and a public home. It is not an endorsement, and it does not activate anything.<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/github.com\/bitcoin\/bips\/blob\/master\/bip-0361.mediawiki\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">BIP header<\/a> lists it as Status: Draft and Type: Informational, with &#8220;Requires: TBD Post Quantum Signature BIP.&#8221; That last line matters. The plan depends on a post-quantum signature standard that has not been written yet, so it cannot be deployed as it stands.<\/p>\n<p>The timing follows a sharp drop in public estimates of what a quantum attack on Bitcoin would cost. In late March 2026, Google Quantum AI published <a href=\"https:\/\/research.google\/blog\/safeguarding-cryptocurrency-by-disclosing-quantum-vulnerabilities-responsibly\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">&#8220;Safeguarding cryptocurrency by disclosing quantum vulnerabilities responsibly&#8221;<\/a> alongside a paper co-authored with the Ethereum Foundation and Stanford, &#8220;Securing Elliptic Curve Cryptocurrencies against Quantum Vulnerabilities.&#8221; It estimates that breaking secp256k1, the curve behind Bitcoin&#8217;s signatures, would take fewer than 500,000 physical qubits and run for minutes. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.securityweek.com\/google-slashes-quantum-resource-requirements-for-breaking-cryptocurrency-encryption\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">SecurityWeek reports<\/a> that this is about ten times lower than earlier estimates.<\/p>\n<p>The paper describes two circuit variants:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>at most 1,200 logical qubits and at most 90 million Toffoli gates<\/li>\n<li>at most 1,450 logical qubits and at most 70 million Toffoli gates<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Google did not publish the circuits. It released a zero-knowledge proof instead, built with the SP1 zkVM and Groth16, so others can check the claim without being handed an attack blueprint. The paper does not claim that any existing machine can break Bitcoin. What it does is shorten the time the ecosystem can assume it has. For the same question on another chain, see our analysis of <a href=\"https:\/\/hadamard.com\/c\/can-quantum-computers-break-ethereum\/\">whether quantum computers can break Ethereum<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h2>What is BIP-360 (P2MR), and how does it relate to BIP-361?<\/h2>\n<p>A sunset only makes sense if there is somewhere safer to move coins. BIP-360 is the proposal most often discussed as that destination. According to <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/news\/bitcoin-advances-toward-quantum-resistance\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Bitcoin Magazine<\/a>, it was merged into the BIPs repository on February 11, 2026. As with BIP-361, merging is not endorsement or activation, and no soft-fork signaling for it exists.<\/p>\n<p>BIP-360 was first called P2QRH and was later renamed Pay-to-Merkle-Root (P2MR). Its authors are Hunter Beast, Ethan Heilman and Isabel Foxen Duke. As <a href=\"https:\/\/www.learnbitcoin.com\/glossary\/bip-360\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">LearnBitcoin&#8217;s BIP-360 entry<\/a> describes it, P2MR is a SegWit version 2 output type with addresses starting &#8220;bc1z.&#8221; It works like Taproot without the key-path spend.<\/p>\n<p>Taproot outputs commit to a public key directly on-chain. Anyone with a large enough quantum computer could target that key at any time. P2MR drops the key path and commits only to a Merkle root of spending scripts. That protects against long-exposure attacks, where a public key sits visible on-chain for months or years.<\/p>\n<p>P2MR does not protect against short-exposure attacks. In those, an attacker would derive a private key during the window between a transaction being broadcast and being confirmed. Closing that gap needs post-quantum signatures, which is why BIP-361&#8217;s header still points to a signature BIP that is &#8220;TBD.&#8221;<\/p>\n<h2>When would BIP-361 take effect? Phase A and Phase B<\/h2>\n<p>The draft is built around activation-relative milestones, not calendar dates. No activation has been scheduled, so every date below is hypothetical. The sequence, as summarized on <a href=\"https:\/\/bips.dev\/361\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">bips.dev<\/a> and in <a href=\"https:\/\/decrypt.co\/364450\/new-bitcoin-proposal-would-freeze-coins-to-counter-quantum-threat\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Decrypt&#8217;s coverage<\/a>, is:<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Stage<\/th>\n<th>Timing<\/th>\n<th>Effect<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Activation<\/td>\n<td>Not scheduled<\/td>\n<td>Clock starts, if the network ever adopts the change<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Phase A<\/td>\n<td>About 160,000 blocks (roughly 3 years) after activation<\/td>\n<td>New sends to quantum-vulnerable address types are blocked<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Phase B<\/td>\n<td>About 2 years after Phase A (roughly 5 years after activation)<\/td>\n<td>Legacy signature sunset at a &#8220;well-publicized flag-day&#8221;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Phase A is the gentler step. Coins already in vulnerable outputs could still be spent, but nobody could create new ones. That stops the exposed pool from growing while people migrate.<\/p>\n<p>Phase B is where the &#8220;sunset&#8221; in the title happens. The official abstract describes it as a &#8220;well-publicized flag-day five years after activation.&#8221; Some readers have the timing wrong because earlier summaries had it wrong. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.learnbitcoin.com\/glossary\/bip-361\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">LearnBitcoin&#8217;s BIP-361 entry<\/a>, revised on October 15, 2026, notes that an earlier text mistakenly placed Phase B five years after Phase A instead of five years after activation.<\/p>\n<p>What Phase B actually does has changed during the draft process. The <a href=\"https:\/\/github.com\/bitcoin\/bips\/blob\/master\/bip-0361.mediawiki\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">current text on GitHub<\/a> (checked October 29, 2026) says Phase B &#8220;restricts ECDSA\/Schnorr spends by encumbering them with a quantum-safe rescue protocol.&#8221; Legacy signatures would not simply stop working. Spending would additionally require proof of ownership that a quantum attacker is unlikely to have, for example proof of knowing a BIP-32 parent key behind a hardened derivation step. Earlier versions, and some mirrors that still circulate, describe Phase B as invalidating legacy signatures outright and leave recovery to a later &#8220;Phase C.&#8221; The current text has no Phase C. The rescue protocols themselves are not specified yet.<\/p>\n<h2>Would BIP-361 freeze Satoshi&#8217;s coins?<\/h2>\n<p>This is the question behind most of the coverage, and the answer hinges on one address type. The earliest Bitcoin outputs used Pay-to-Public-Key (P2PK), which writes the full public key directly into the output. There is no hash hiding it. Those keys have been visible since the coins were mined.<\/p>\n<p>The BIP-361 authors discuss a rescue protocol that would let owners of vulnerable coins prove ownership in a quantum-safe way. For P2PK, though, they state that it is &#8220;not currently believed possible to construct a rescue protocol for P2PK UTXOs,&#8221; in the <a href=\"https:\/\/github.com\/bitcoin\/bips\/blob\/master\/bip-0361.mediawiki\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">backward-compatibility section of the BIP<\/a>. For those coins they point to a separate proposal called &#8220;Hourglass.&#8221; We found no evidence that an Hourglass BIP has been published.<\/p>\n<p>The amounts involved are large. Coverage by <a href=\"https:\/\/decrypt.co\/364450\/new-bitcoin-proposal-would-freeze-coins-to-counter-quantum-threat\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Decrypt<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.learnbitcoin.com\/glossary\/bip-361\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">LearnBitcoin<\/a> cites about 1.7 million BTC in P2PK outputs, about 1.1 million of which is attributed to Satoshi Nakamoto. The BIP itself states that, as of March 1, 2026, over 34% of all bitcoin had revealed a public key on-chain. The P2PK and Satoshi figures are third-party estimates, and attributing early coins to Satoshi is itself an inference.<\/p>\n<p>So the honest answer is this. BIP-361 offers no rescue path for P2PK coins and hands the problem to a proposal that does not yet exist as a BIP. If the draft activated as written and nothing else changed, coins that never move, including the ones attributed to Satoshi, would be left out of any recovery mechanism. For a breakdown of which output types expose keys and when, see <a href=\"https:\/\/hadamard.com\/c\/bitcoin-addresses-vulnerable-quantum-computers\/\">which Bitcoin addresses are vulnerable to quantum computers<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h2>Security vs. &#8220;confiscation&#8221;: the debate around BIP-361<\/h2>\n<p>Few Bitcoin proposals have split opinion as sharply. Critics have described the freeze as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ccn.com\/news\/crypto\/bitcoin-devs-bip-361-quantum-proof-bitcoin-or-coin-freeze\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">&#8220;authoritarian confiscation&#8221;<\/a>. Their objection rests on a core Bitcoin principle: whoever holds the key controls the coins, and no protocol rule should take that away retroactively.<\/p>\n<p>Lopp and supporters frame it as a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cryptotimes.io\/2026\/04\/15\/bip-361s-post-quantum-migration-plan-sparks-debate-over-bitcoin-freezing\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">necessary precaution<\/a>. Their argument goes like this. If a capable quantum computer appears, exposed coins will not stay with their owners anyway. They will go to whoever runs the attack first. A sudden release of a large share of supply would hurt every holder, not just the original owners. Seen that way, a scheduled sunset with years of warning is the lesser harm.<\/p>\n<p>Both sides largely agree on the threat model and disagree on the remedy. The open questions include:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Is it legitimate for consensus rules to restrict coins whose keys have not been compromised?<\/li>\n<li>Is five years after activation enough warning for holders who are inactive, unaware or have died?<\/li>\n<li>Should P2PK coins be treated differently, as the Hourglass reference suggests, or under the same rules?<\/li>\n<li>Can activation be timed sensibly when nobody knows when a cryptographically relevant quantum computer will exist?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>None of these has been settled. Because BIP-361 is a draft, the debate is part of the process, not a sign that a decision has been made.<\/p>\n<h2>Is BIP-361 active? What holders can do now<\/h2>\n<p>BIP-361 is not active. It is a draft Informational BIP that depends on a post-quantum signature BIP that has not been written. No activation mechanism, signaling period or date exists. BIP-360 is in the same position: merged as a document, with no soft-fork signaling. Nothing in either proposal changes how your coins work today.<\/p>\n<p>That does not mean doing nothing is free. Long-exposure risk depends on whether your public key is already visible, and some habits make it worse. Reasonable steps that do not depend on any BIP passing:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><strong>Stop reusing addresses.<\/strong> Once you spend from an address, its public key is on-chain. Any coins left at or sent back to that address stay exposed.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Know your output types.<\/strong> P2PK and Taproot outputs show a key on-chain. Hash-based types such as P2PKH and P2WPKH hide the key until you first spend.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Consider moving coins from exposed outputs<\/strong> to a fresh, never-used address in your wallet. The move itself briefly reveals a key, but it ends the long-term exposure.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Keep seed phrases and documentation current<\/strong> so that you, or your heirs, could act within a multi-year migration window if one is ever adopted.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Follow the primary sources.<\/strong> Read the BIP texts on GitHub instead of summaries. Our <a href=\"https:\/\/hadamard.com\/post-quantum-tracker\/\">Post-Quantum Migration Tracker<\/a> follows the status of blockchains and standards.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>Other systems are being built without elliptic-curve signatures from the start. Hadamard, the publisher of this blog, builds <a href=\"https:\/\/bb84.com\/\">BB84<\/a>, an Ethereum Layer 2 that does not use ECDSA. Its accounts are one-time addresses based on hash commitments. That approach does nothing for coins already on Bitcoin, but it shows the design direction proposals like P2MR are moving toward.<\/p>\n<h2>FAQ<\/h2>\n<h3>Is BIP-361 active, and will my bitcoin be frozen?<\/h3>\n<p>No. BIP-361 is a draft with no activation date, and it requires a post-quantum signature BIP that does not yet exist. Even if it were adopted, the first restriction (Phase A) would come about three years after activation, and the legacy signature sunset about five years after.<\/p>\n<h3>Would BIP-361 freeze Satoshi&#8217;s coins?<\/h3>\n<p>The coins attributed to Satoshi sit mostly in P2PK outputs. The authors say a rescue protocol for P2PK is not currently believed possible, and they defer those coins to a separate &#8220;Hourglass&#8221; proposal that has not been published as a BIP. As drafted, those coins would have no recovery path.<\/p>\n<h3>What&#8217;s the difference between BIP-360 and BIP-361?<\/h3>\n<p>BIP-360 (P2MR) defines a new output type, SegWit v2 with &#8220;bc1z&#8221; addresses, that removes Taproot&#8217;s key-path spend and protects against long-exposure attacks. BIP-361 is a migration plan that would phase out legacy signatures over time. One gives coins a safer place to go. The other sets the deadline for getting there.<\/p>\n<h3>What should I do with coins in old or reused addresses right now?<\/h3>\n<p>Nothing is urgent, but moving coins from P2PK or reused addresses to a fresh, unused address ends long-term key exposure. Avoid address reuse from here on, and follow the primary BIP texts for changes.<\/p>\n<h2>Sources<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/github.com\/bitcoin\/bips\/pull\/1895\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">BIP-361 pull request #1895<\/a> \u2013 bitcoin\/bips, GitHub, merged April 14, 2026<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/github.com\/bitcoin\/bips\/blob\/master\/bip-0361.mediawiki\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">BIP-361: Post Quantum Migration and Legacy Signature Sunset (text)<\/a> \u2013 bitcoin\/bips, GitHub<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/bips.dev\/361\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">BIP-361 summary and header<\/a> \u2013 bips.dev<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.learnbitcoin.com\/glossary\/bip-361\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">BIP-361 glossary entry<\/a> \u2013 LearnBitcoin, revised October 15, 2026<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.learnbitcoin.com\/glossary\/bip-360\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">BIP-360 (P2MR) glossary entry<\/a> \u2013 LearnBitcoin<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/decrypt.co\/364450\/new-bitcoin-proposal-would-freeze-coins-to-counter-quantum-threat\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">New Bitcoin proposal would freeze coins to counter quantum threat<\/a> \u2013 Decrypt, April 2026<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-devs-and-researchers-propose-freezing-quantum-vulnerable-coins-bip-361\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Bitcoin devs and researchers propose freezing quantum-vulnerable coins<\/a> \u2013 Cointelegraph, April 2026<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ccn.com\/news\/crypto\/bitcoin-devs-bip-361-quantum-proof-bitcoin-or-coin-freeze\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">BIP-361: quantum-proof Bitcoin or coin freeze?<\/a> \u2013 CCN, 2026<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cryptotimes.io\/2026\/04\/15\/bip-361s-post-quantum-migration-plan-sparks-debate-over-bitcoin-freezing\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">BIP-361&#8217;s post-quantum migration plan sparks debate over Bitcoin freezing<\/a> \u2013 Crypto Times, April 15, 2026<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/beincrypto.com\/bip-361-hoskinson-satoshi-bitcoin-quantum\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">BIP-361, Satoshi&#8217;s coins and the quantum debate<\/a> \u2013 BeInCrypto, 2026<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/news\/bitcoin-advances-toward-quantum-resistance\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Bitcoin advances toward quantum resistance (BIP-360 merged)<\/a> \u2013 Bitcoin Magazine, 2026<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/research.google\/blog\/safeguarding-cryptocurrency-by-disclosing-quantum-vulnerabilities-responsibly\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Safeguarding cryptocurrency by disclosing quantum vulnerabilities responsibly<\/a> \u2013 Google Research blog, March 2026<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.securityweek.com\/google-slashes-quantum-resource-requirements-for-breaking-cryptocurrency-encryption\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Google slashes quantum resource requirements for breaking cryptocurrency encryption<\/a> \u2013 SecurityWeek, 2026<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>BIP-361 is a draft plan to phase Bitcoin&#8217;s quantum-vulnerable signatures out in two stages, roughly three and five years after a still-undefined activation. Here is what it would do, what it means for Satoshi&#8217;s P2PK coins, and why it is not in force.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1201,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[804],"tags":[808,836,790,830,3],"class_list":["post-1200","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blockchain-security","tag-bip-360","tag-bip-361","tag-bitcoin","tag-post-quantum","tag-quantum-computing","entry"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/hadamard.com\/c\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/2026-10-29-bip-361-explained-quantum-bitcoin-freeze.png","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hadamard.com\/c\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1200","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hadamard.com\/c\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hadamard.com\/c\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hadamard.com\/c\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hadamard.com\/c\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1200"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hadamard.com\/c\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1200\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1202,"href":"https:\/\/hadamard.com\/c\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1200\/revisions\/1202"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hadamard.com\/c\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1201"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hadamard.com\/c\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1200"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hadamard.com\/c\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1200"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hadamard.com\/c\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1200"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}